GBP/USD breaks ascending pattern

Note: This section contains information in English only.
Source: Dukascopy Bank SA
Despite piercing resistance zone above 1.2660, the GBP/USD declined after the week's fundamental events. Eventually, the decline found support in 1.2500 and was observed to be recovering. At mid-Friday, the pair appeared to be encountering resistance in 1.2540.

Economic Calendar



During the upcoming week, on Tuesday, the US Flash Manufacturing and Services PMIs might impact the financial markets through an adjustment of USD value.

On Wednesday, the UK inflation data will be published at 06:00 GMT. The last release revealed that inflation is back above 10.00% and the Bank of England has to tighten policy.

In the evening, at 18:00 GMT, the FOMC Meeting Minutes publication could provide more insight into the Federal Reserve's policy.

On Thursday, The US Preliminary GDP and Unemployment Claims releases at 12:30 GMT are highly likely going to impact the USD.

On Friday, at 12:30 GMT, the Core PCE Price Index is bound to impact financial markets through the US Dollar.

GBP/USD short-term view

A move above 1.2540 is expected to face resistance in the weekly simple pivot point at 1.2571, the 50, 100 and 200-hour simple moving averages. Higher above, note that the pair could be impacted by the 1.2650/1.2670 range.

However, a decline of the Pound against the US Dollar is going to look for support in the 1.2500 mark and the weekly S1 simple pivot point at 1.2489. Further below, note the 1.2400 mark and the weekly S2 at 1.2354.

Hourly Chart

GBP/USD daily chart's review

On the daily candle chart, the pair has bounced off the late 2022 high level zone and broken the channel up pattern that has guided the pair up since February.

In the near term future, the pair could look for support in the 50 and 100-day simple moving averages and the 1.2300/1.2450 range.
Daily chart


Traders remain short on GBP/USD


On Friday, traders were 58% bearish, as 58% of trader open position volume on the Swiss Foreign Exchange was in short positions.

In the meantime, pending orders in a 100-base point range around the pair were 55% to sell the GBP/USD.

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