GBP/USD trades in 150 point range

Note: This section contains information in English only.
Source: Dukascopy Bank SA
At the start of April trading, the US Dollar was highly volatile. Initially, OPEC+ decreased production. The decrease caused a surge of oil prices. The increase of oil prices first of all increased demand for oil deals in USD and secondly signals that inflation would remain high. High inflation is expected to be the basis for more USD interest rate hikes.

However, by mid-Monday, the markets had shrugged off the news and the USD was near previous levels. On the GBPUSD charts it resulted in a drop to 1.2280 and a follow up recovery. By mid-Monday the rate was heading back to the Friday's high at 1.2420.

Economic Calendar



On Monday, the US ISM Manufacturing PMI release at 14:00 GMT could cause a move in the US Dollar.

On Wednesday, the US ADP Non-Farm Employment change at 12:15 GMT might impact the USD. Afterwards, at 14:00 GMT note the ISM Services PMI release.

Above all, on Friday, at 12:30 GMT, the United States will publish the Average Hourly Earnings, Non-Farm Employment Change and Unemployment Rate.

GBP/USD short-term view

A move above 1.2420 and the weekly R1 simple pivot point at 1.2428 could reach for the 1.2500 mark.

On the other hand, a decline is expected to find support in the 50, 100 and 200-hour simple moving averages, the 1.2300 mark and the weekly simple pivot point at 1.2323.

Hourly Chart

GBP/USD daily chart's review

On the daily candle chart, the pair faces the resistance zone of the 2023 high levels at 1.2300/1.2450.
Daily chart


Traders are short on GBP/USD


On Friday, traders were 66% bearish, as 66% of trader open position volume on the Swiss Foreign Exchange was in short positions.

In the meantime, pending orders in a 100-base point range around the pair were 60% to sell the GBP/USD.

On Monday, traders were 68% short and orders were 67% to sell.

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