Gold surges due to USD decline

Note: This section contains information in English only.
Source: Dukascopy Bank SA
As the US Dollar has been experiencing a decline due to the markets thinking that the Federal Reserve would be less restrictive in their monetary policy, the price for gold has surged. On Wednesday morning, the price touched the 1,675.00 level.

Economic Calendar Analysis



On Thursday, the Euro will react to the European Central Bank's announcement of the Main Refinancing Rate and the follow up press conference. The publication of the rate and monetary policy statement is scheduled for 12:15 GMT. The press conference is scheduled for 12:45 GMT.

Meanwhile, between the ECB events, at 12:30 GMT the US Advance GDP is set to be published. The event will impact all US Dollar pairs.

On Friday, the US Core PCE Price Index is scheduled to be published at 12:30 GMT. This inflation measure is watched by the US Federal Reserve when setting their policy.

XAU/USD short-term forecast

An extension of the ongoing surge is set to face resistance at 1,678.75/1,683.85, where the early October high level zone is located at.

On the other hand, a decline of the metal could look for support in the 1,660.00, 1,650.00 and 1,640.00 levels.

Hourly Chart

XAU/USD daily charts review

On the daily candle chart, the price found support in the September low level near 1,615.00. Currently, note that the 50-day SMA is strengthening resistance at 1,685.00. Meanwhile, the 100-day SMA is located near 1,716.00.

Daily Candle Chart


Traders are long

On Wednesday, the sentiment on the Swiss Foreign Exchange was 62% bullish. Namely, 62% of open position volume was in long positions.

Meanwhile, in the 1000-pip range around the metal's price, pending trade orders were 61% to buy the precious metal.

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