Gold continues to decline

Note: This section contains information in English only.
Source: Dukascopy Bank SA
The yellow metal pierced the upper trend line of the channel down pattern on Wednesday. However, the 55-hour simple moving average almost immediately provided resistance and caused a drop of the metal's price. The drop shortly reached below the 1,725.00 before the price began to recover.

On Thursday, the bullion retraced back to the previously pierced upper trend line of the channel down pattern. It appeared by mid-day that the price had resumed to respect the channel's borders.

Economic Calendar Analysis



On Thursday, at the same time as the US GDP, the US weekly Unemployment Claims could also impact the USD.

On Friday, at 14:00 GMT a notable move could be created by the US ISM Manufacturing PMI results.

XAU/USD short-term forecast

In the case of a surge, the bullion would test the upper trend line of the channel down pattern and the 55-hour simple moving average near 1,735.00. Above the 1,735.00 level, the 100-hour SMA could provide resistance near 1,740.00.

Meanwhile, a potential decline of the commodity price would find support in round price levels, as it had done throughout this week.

Hourly Chart

XAU/USD daily charts review

On the daily candle chart, note that the bullion has been in a decline since the start of September, when it bounced off the summer high zone at 1,830.00. The decline has been occurring in a channel down pattern, which is aimed at the August low level at 1,685.00.

Daily Candle Chart


Traders are long on gold

Since Wednesday, the sentiment on the Swiss Foreign Exchange was 70% bullish, as 70% of open position volume was in long positions.

Meanwhile, in the 1000-pip range around the metal's price pending trade orders were 56% to buy the precious metal.

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