The Fed caused decline ended on Thursday at the weekly S2 of the simple pivot points at 1.1029. The reaching of this level was followed by a surge.
By the middle of Friday's trading the EUR/USD had reached the resistance of the 100-hour simple moving average at 1.1114.
The European Common Currency depreciated against the US Dollar, following the US FOMC Statement data release on Wednesday at 18:00 GMT. The EUR/USD exchange currency rate lost 29 pips or 0.26% right after the release. The Euro continued trading at the 1.1105 level against the Greenback.
The Federal Reserve released the Federal Funds Rate data, which came out in line with the expectations of 2.25%.
During the press conference the Fed Chairman Jerome Powell said a recent rate cut is not the start of a long series of rate cuts. He suggested that a global economic slowdown, the US trade tensions and a need to boost low inflation are the reasons why the US policymakers decided to lower the rate. Thus, the US Dollar appreciated against the Euro.
US Employment data
On Friday, the US employment data will be published. It will consist of the US Average Hourly Earnings, Non-Farm Employment Change and the official Unemployment Rate. This release has caused moves from 13.3 to 48.0 base points.
EUR/USD hourly chart's review
On Friday morning, the EUR/USD reached the resistance of the 100-hour simple moving average at 1.1114.If the rate breaks this resistance level, it would first test the 200-hour simple moving average at 1.1130 and afterwards a pivot point at 1.1153.
On the other hand, if the resistance of the 100-hour SMA holds, the rate should decline to the 55- hour SMA at 1.1090 and the weekly S1 pivot point at 1.1080.
Hourly Chart
On the daily candle chart it can be observed that the EUR/USD bounced off also of the lower trend line of a large scale descending channel pattern.
Daily chart
On Thursday, 62% of open EUR/USD position volume was in short positions.
By the middle of Friday's trading the sentiment decreased to 61%. During the retracement upwards traders did not close their short positions.
Meanwhile, trader set up pending orders in 100-pip range around the pair were bearish, as 58% of all orders were set to sell and 42% were to buy.