- SWFX market sentiment is 52% bullish today
- Pending orders in the 100-pip range are 54% to buy
- FOMC Federal Funds Rate will be announced on Thursday
After touching the 1.1500 mark the EUR/USD had retreated down to technical levels near the 1.1410 mark. The currency exchange rate was expected to trade sideways until late in the day, when the Federal Reserve Rate will be announced at 19:00 GMT.
The European Single Currency depreciated against the US Dollar, following the US Unemployment Rate data release on Friday at 12:30 GMT. The EUR/USD exchange currency rate lost 17 pips or 0.15% during a minute, right after the release. Afterwards, the European Single Currency continued trading at the 1.1415 area against the US Dollar.
The Bureau of Labor Statistics released US Unemployment Rate that came out in line with expectations of 3.7%. In addition, the Non-Farm Employment Change together with the Average Hourly Earnings m/m data release came out also at 12:30 GMT.
The Bureau of Labor Statistics noted: "Total nonfarm payroll employment rose by 250,000 in October, and the unemployment rate was unchanged at 3.7 percent. Job gains occurred in health care, in manufacturing, in construction, and in transportation and warehousing".
FOMC Thursday has come
All of this week's events, which are worth mentioning, are described below
On Thursday, the US Federal Reserve's Federal Open Markets Committee will publish their statement and announce the Federal Funds Rate at 19:00 GMT. The event will also be covered on a live webinar by Dukascopy Analytics.
On Friday, at 09:30 GMT the UK GDP and Manufacturing Production data sets will be published. Afterwards, at 13:30 GMT US Producers Price Index will be out. Both events will be covered by Dukascopy Analytics.
EUR/USD daily review
In regards to the near-term future, most likely, the currency exchange rate will surge towards the 1.1480 level breaking the resistance of the 50.00% Fibo. The supports of the simple moving averages together with the monthly pivot point at 1.1413 should push the rate to surge during the trading session on Thursday.On the other hand, today's significant fundamental release of the US Federal Funds Rate at 19:00 GMT could ignore the predictions for the currency exchange pair to push the European Single Currency to trade near the weekly PP at 1.1382.
Hourly Chart
On the daily chart on Thursday one could spot that the rate was finding support in the lower trend line of the previously broken descending pattern.
In addition, note that the strong resistance cluster in the zone from 1.1520 to 1.1535 is set to be strengthened by the additional resistance of the 55 and 100-day simple moving averages, which are approaching the currency exchange rate.
Daily chart
Previously, 52% of traders open positions were long after profits were taken in after the US Congressional Election. On Thursday, 53% of open positions were already short, as the selling has continued.
Meanwhile, traders are still prepared to sell the EUR/USD, as 54% of all trader set up orders are bearish.
In general, the shorting of the EUR/USD has continued, as bearish sentiment has become dominant. Moreover, the trend is likely going to continue, as pending orders are set to sell the pair.