- SWFX market sentiment is 64% bullish today
- Pending orders in the 100-pip range are 51% to buy
- US Advance GDP at 12:30 GMT
A new low level was reached by the EUR/USD on Friday, as the pair touched the 1.1360 mark. Although, afterwards the currency pair traded sideways above a monthly pivot point, which was located exactly at 1.1360.
The European Single Currency depreciated against the US Dollar, following the EU Main Refinancing Rate data release on Thursday at 11:45 GMT. The EUR/USD exchange currency rate lost 8 pips or 0.07% during a minute, right after the release. The European Single Currency continued trading at the 1.141.00 area.
The European Central Bank released EU Main Refinancing Rate data that came out in line with expectations of 0.00 %.
The European Central Bank noted: "The Governing Council of the ECB decided that the interest rate on the main refinancing operations and the interest rates on the marginal lending facility and the deposit facility will remain unchanged at 0.00%, 0.25% and -0.40% respectively. The Governing Council expects the key ECB interest rates to remain at their present levels at least through the summer of 2019 ".
US GDP ends the week
There is one data release left this week, which might impact the financial markets through the strength of the US Dollar.
The US Advance GDP will be published at 12:30 GMT. The data release will be covered by Dukascopy Analytics on the bank's webinar platform.
In addition, EUR/USD traders should note that at 14:00 GMT the ECB President Mario Draghi is set to give a speech. Although, he is set to speak at a non-essential event, and the speech is unlikely going to impact the Euro's strength.
EUR/USD short term review
In regards to the near-term future, most likely, the currency pair will be supported by the monthly S2 at 1.1359 to trade sideways at the 1.1360 level. The 55-hour SMA will try to catch up the rate during the day.On the other hand, the rate could pass through the support of the monthly S2 to depreciate to the weekly S2 at 1.1335 due to the resistance of the 55-hour SMA and the US Advance GDP q/q data release at 12:30 GMT on Friday.
Hourly Chart
On the daily chart one can spot a descending channel pattern, which represents the decline of October. Although, take into account that it is too narrow to set the currency pair's direction for more than a couple of months.
Daily chart
On Thursday, traders continued to be long on the EUR/USD. Namely, 65% of traders were long.
Meanwhile, traders had their pending orders set up mostly to sell the EUR/USD, as 58% of all trader set up orders were set to sell the pair.
This indicates that the traders want to take advantage of a rebound upwards. However, the retail sector will not provide a push upwards or downwards, as their pending orders are set to sell.
In addition, it can be seen that 65% of traders have been taking losses during this week.