The Cable is unable to violate the red trend-line for a second time in two days. Despite that, this is a rare case when an ascending triangle formed a reversal pattern at the end of a downtrend. It indicates that some attempts to climb will be in place for some time, unless the bulls give up and allow the bears
The ascending channel gold is forming at the very end of its four-hour chart might be deceiving, as the price is in fact trading right at the upper edge of another, more senior channel. Accordingly, we do not expect the green trend-line to guide the bullion north for much longer. And while we do not rule out a rally from
There are signs that the latest recovery from 0.68 might have come to an end. CAD/CHF is trading within the boundaries of the rising wedge, and this implies weakening demand for the Loonie. The base case scenario is a dip through the green trend-line during the next two days. If this is indeed the case, the first target will be
For a fourth month in a row the most traded FX cross has been rejecting the idea of confirming a triangle pattern. Despite that, the apex is nearing and a break-out is highly likely in the nearest future. Continuation pattern implies that the Euro will resume sliding against the US Dollar, meaning a support zone at 1.0852/14 carries much higher
Gold has been trading in an uptrend since the first part of the previous week. Yesterday the price touched the 1,128 mark, which led to a correction on Thursday. XAU/USD has some space to descend even more in course of the next 24 hours, even though technical indicators are bearish only in the 1H time frame. Market sentiment provides no
GBP/JPY appears to be in a good position to advance north. First of all, the pair has recently broken the downward-sloping trend-line to the upside. Secondly, right now it is forming an ascending channel, which implies increasing demand for the Pound. Our base case scenario is a close above 170.15. This will pave the way for a rally to 171.91
After EUR/NOK formed a rising wedge at the end of the previous week, the currency pair is now approaching the apex of the falling wedge. Accordingly, while the near-term bias is negative, which is also confirmed by the hourly and four-hour technical indicators, we should be wary of a potential reversal. The outlook will be changed to bullish once the
The Dollar has also been correcting lower versus the domestic currency of Singapore, but a recovery may begin sooner than expected near the 200-period SMA. At the moment this line is gradually inching upwards and will try to support the pair as soon as over the next few hours. Any failure here would imply a sell-off down to the pattern's
Daily technical studies are expecting another up-leg for the US Dollar. Indeed, in a short period of time the USD/ZAR currency pair will encounter a dense support cluster, which consists of daily and weekly S1 lines and the lower boundary of the pattern at 16.28/23. The pair is quite oversold in the SWFX market, as more than 71% of all
Bullish momentum of EUR/TRY appears to be dying out, as the pair is forming a rising wedge. Nevertheless, in the short run there is high possibility of a rally, considering that the price is currently fluctuating next to the strong demand area, created by the rising trend-line, 200-period SMA, and the January 22 low. The current target is a solid
NZD/CAD has recently paused its recovery from 0.83, and the correction has taken the form of a channel. However, in the near term perspectives are bullish, being that the currency pair is trading at the lower edge of the pattern at the moment. Accordingly, there is a good chance the price will rebound from 0.9130 and rise up to 0.9360
The Euro seems to be recovering earlier than it had been initially anticipated. The pair fell short of 200-period SMA and support trend-line by 40 and 80 pips, respectively. Technical indicators suggest that a down-leg has come to an end, meaning a new rally is now considered to be the base scenario. In addition, market sentiment is bullish in 61%
When we discussed the Cable last time, this currency pair was nearing the bearish channel's upper boundary. Since then the Pound has successfully bounced off the red trend-line to continue losing ground against the Greenback. The pair remains overbought, according to 66% of SWFX traders who are keeping long open positions. Given that 4H and daily technical indicators are pointing
For some reason there is a striking similarity between the current situations in AUD/NZD and USD/PLN. Both have triangles forming within the ascending channels. However, the case for a rally here is somewhat stronger, considering that the US Dollar is in fact oversold—68% of positions are short. Accordingly, our base case scenario is a rally through the near-term trend-line at
AUD/NZD appears to have formed a triangle within the channel we looked at yesterday. Given the overall bullish bias and the signals provided by the technical indicators, the break-out to the upside seems a lot more likely than a decline. Above 1.0770 the currency pair should aim for the January 19 high at 1.0840. Nevertheless, there is also a strong
A losing streak of the UK currency versus the Euro has been taking place since the beginning of December. However, last week the bears took over the market and were able to send EUR/GBP into correction territory. Short-term downside risks are significant, as projected by 4H technical indicators. Thus, we are looking at monthly R1 and 100-period SMA near 0.7520,
After bottoming out at 2.0225 on Friday of the previous week, since then the Sterling has been gaining value against the Australian Dollar. The pair has already risen by two figures and is now going to encounter an important resistance area at 2.0457/87. Here we expect from the pair to test 100-hour SMA, daily R1 and weekly pivot point. Given
At first it seemed as if gold was trading within a bearish channel. However, it is becoming increasingly clear that it is the falling wedge that is emerging, given the narrowing trading range. This suggests a growing chance of a break-out to the upside as we approach the apex of the figure. In the meantime, the price has just rebounded
After AUD/NZD bottomed out at 1.0550, one can seen the glimpses of a bullish channel emerging in the four-hour chart. However, the currency pair has been struggling to rise above 1.0840 recently. The focus is therefore on the nearest demand zone at 1.0767/59 (weekly and monthly PPs). Still, the decline may extend lower without jeopardising the bullish outlook—the key support
Since the last time we looked at AUD/CHF, the pair has confirmed the lower boundary of the channel and has approached the upper trend-line. Accordingly, we now expect the Aussie to turn around and start a new bearish leg. Although there are not many arguments in favour of a sell-off apart from the pattern itself and the fact that the
After weeks of losses that sent the Sterling to 164 against the Yen, the pair's bulls finally see some light at the end of the tunnel. GBP/JPY is now even testing the upper boundary of the bearish channel. In case it is breached, the Pound will be in a good position to extend gains much higher, especially considering that SWFX
By closing the price below 200-hour SMA and pattern's lower edge, the EUR/NOK cross confirmed the rising wedge, while narrowing trading range had implied a drop from the very beginning of the pattern. Now the risks are skewed strongly to the downside, but support can be offered quite soon by two important technical areas. The first is placed at 9.40
Since the last time we reviewed GBP/USD, the currency pair has effortlessly broken through the 2010 low and thus has confirmed its intention to go lower. The bearish outlook is also suggested by the fact that the Sterling is overbought in the SWFX market—70% of positions are long. The next major objective is now the 2009 low at 1.35. In
EUR/CHF is in a good position to lunge forward. And while the emerging channel is weak, the manner in which the currency pair has been consolidating recently speaks in favour of a rally. There is a solid support area near 1.0920, and it should be able to trigger intensive buying. If the price indeed manages to climb over 1.0960, the