USD/JPY underpinned by long-term up-trend

As turned out, USD/JPY required assistance of the major rising trend-line at 101.53 in order to preserve chances to rally. And even though on the daily and monthly time-frames the currency pair is supposed to be moving North, it fails to start a recovery and finally gain a foothold above the 200-day SMA. This would supposedly give the U.S. Dollar confidence to surpass the recent highs at 103 and then challenge the 2014 Q2 high at 101.42.

Nearly three fourths (73%) of the market participants are expecting the U.S. Dollar to outperform the Japanese Yen in the future. There is also a large portion of buy orders set 100 pips around the spot price—61%.