USD/JPY Technical Analysis

Note: This section contains information in English only.
Source: Dukascopy Bank SA
The USD/JPY pair on the weekly chart is currently navigating a bearish correction within a broader long-term uptrend that has been building since early 2025. While the price recently backed off from the major 160.000 resistance level to its current position at 156.511, the overall structure remains positive as the 52-period Simple Moving Average (SMA) continues to trend upward at 152.224. This SMA serves as a critical support floor alongside horizontal levels near 153.000, which buyers will likely attempt to defend to maintain the bullish momentum. With the RSI (26) sitting at a neutral 54.466, the market is essentially cooling off from previous highs, suggesting that if this support cluster holds, the pair could eventually pivot back toward the 160.000 mark.



The probability of hitting the secondary target remains unchanged, though heightened volatility in the USD/JPY may affect risk-on assets in the near term. Previously discussed scenarios remain applicable, particularly if long-term yields continue to exhibit uncertainty alongside elevated volatility levels. While the pair navigates this corrective phase, the underlying structural setup is still the primary driver, assuming these key support zones hold firm against the current market noise.
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