Existing-Home Sales Fall 8.4% in January 2026 Despite Improving Affordability

Note: This section contains information in English only.
Source: Dukascopy Bank SA
Existing-home sales declined sharply in January 2026, falling 8.4% across all four major U.S. regions—West, Midwest, South, and Northeast, compared with the previous month, according to the National Association of Realtors. Total sales volume dropped to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 3.91 million units. The median existing-home sales price was $396,800, and housing inventory stood at 3.7 months' supply. The Pending Home Sales Index also declined, posting a 9.3% decrease, signaling continued softness in contract activity.

Unusually harsh winter weather, including colder-than-normal temperatures and heavier-than-normal precipitation, was cited as a likely contributing factor. Given those conditions, it remains unclear whether January's decline represents a temporary weather-related disruption or the beginning of a broader downward trend.



Despite the drop in sales activity, affordability conditions are gradually improving, housing affordability is at its strongest level since March 2022, supported by wage growth outpacing home price increases and mortgage rates trending lower than a year ago. However, the housing market continues to face persistent supply constraints, with inventory levels remaining below what is typically considered a balanced market.
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