EUR/USD is anticipating stronger downside pressure

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Source: Dukascopy Bank SA
EUR/USD is facing downside pressure, trading near a one-month low of 1.03640 as 2025 starts. The US Dollar remains strong, while the expectation that the Federal Reserve will scale back interest rate cuts more than anticipated. Following interest reduction in 2024, the Fed is projected to cut rates less in 2025, supported by strong US economic performance and a slowdown in disinflation. The Fed's latest projections indicate that Federal Fund rates could reach less than 4.0% by the end of 2025, higher than earlier predictions.



The Fed is expected to keep rates steady at 4.25%-4.50% in January, with the upcoming US ISM Manufacturing PMI providing more insights. On the other hand, the Euro is under pressure as the European Central Bank (ECB) is likely to maintain its rate-cutting strategy until mid-summer, pushing the Deposit Facility rate towards 2% rate.
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