Gold passes below 50-day SMA

Note: This section contains information in English only.
Source: Dukascopy Bank SA
The Institute for Supply Management has published the US Manufacturing sector Purchasing Managers Index. The index has come in below expectations. Markets expected the PMI to be at 49.8, but the actual reading is 48.7. US Dollar index reacted to the news by dropping 0.18% and extending a prior decline.

On the gold price charts it caused a recovery that pushed through the resistance of the 50 and 100-hour simple moving averages. The price could soon test the 200-hour SMA and the 200-hour simple moving average and the 2,350.00 level.

Economic Calendar Analysis



This week, the markets will watch the US Employment data release. It is scheduled for Friday 12:30 GMT. The data release moves all of the financial markets, as it causes a move in the US Dollar.

US Employment data release consists of the US Average Hourly Earnings change, Non-Farm Payrolls and Unemployment rate.

XAU/USD short-term forecast

If the metal moves above 2,350.00, the 2,360.00 is bound to immediately act as resistance. Higher above, the 2,400.00 could be the target.

On the other hand, a decline of the metal is set to look for support in the 2,300.00 mark.

Hourly Chart

XAU/USD daily charts review

On the daily candle chart, the metal has moved below the 50-day simple moving average, as it appears to have failed to act as support.

Daily Candle Chart


Traders remain short

On Monday, traders were 68% bearish. Namely, 68% of all open position volume at Dukascopy was in short positions.

In the meantime, more traders were set to go short. 100% of all pending orders in the 1000 point range around the current metal's price are to sell.

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