EUR/USD decline continues

Note: This section contains information in English only.
Source: Dukascopy Bank SA
On Friday, the EUR/USD plummeted due to the US Dollar strengthening that was caused by the much better than expected US monthly employment data. On the EUR/USD charts, it coincided with the pair bouncing off the resistance zone at 1.1040/1.1065 and the 50-hour simple moving average. Afterwards, the pair found support in the 1.0950 level.

Economic Calendar Analysis


This week, the markets could react to the publication of the US Federal Reserve Meting Minutes on Wednesday at 18:00 GMT.

On Thursday, the top event of the week will take place. At 12:30 GMT, the US Consumer Price Index is bound to impact all currency pairs via an adjustment of the value of the US Dollar to the inflation numbers.

On Friday, the US Producer Price Index numbers will reveal how inflation is doing at the producer level. This rate might cause a move, if it deviates a lot from the market forecast. However, due to it being released a day after the consumer inflation, it is unlikely that the PPI numbers create a major market reaction.

EUR/USD hourly chart analysis

In the near term future, the Euro could recover against the US Dollar and face the resistance of the 50-hour simple moving average and the 1.1000 mark. If these levels fail, the rate should aim at the 1.1040/1.1065 zone and the weekly simple pivot point at 1.1045. In addition, the 100-hour SMA could slow down the pair.

A potential resumption of the prior decline would look for support in the 1.0950 and 1.0900 levels, prior to approaching the weekly S1 simple pivot point at 1.0880.

Hourly Chart

EUR/USD daily chart's review

On the daily candle chart, the decline continues, as the pair has reached the support of the 100-day simple moving average and the 1.0950 mark.

Previously, support was found in the combination of the 50-day simple moving averages and the 1.1025/1.1050 range. However, these levels failed to hold even before the publication of the US employment data sets.

Daily chart




Traders continues to take profits

Last week, on Monday, traders were bearish, as 74% of volume was in short positions.

On Wednesday, traders were 67% short.

By this week, only 62% were short, as traders have continued to take profits.

Meanwhile, pending orders in the 100-point range around the current rate were 56% to sell the Euro against the USD.

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