USD/TRY 1H Chart: Soon breakout from triangle

Note: This section contains information in English only.
Source: Dukascopy Bank SA

Indicator 4H 1D 1W
MACD (12; 26; 9) Sell Buy Buy
RSI (14) Neutral Neutral Sell
Stochastic (5; 3) Buy Buy Neutral
Alligator (13; 8; 5) Sell Neutral Buy
SAR (0.02; 0.2) Buy Sell Buy
Aggregate

The US Dollar spiked significantly against the Turkish Lira late in May as a result of which it surged up to a many-year high of 4.90.

The rate has since edged lower and is now trading in a descending triangle—the upper boundary of this pattern is a downward-sloping trend-line drawn from the aforementioned spike, while support is provided by the 4.45 level. 

This triangle has reached its maturity; thus a breakout and a subsequent movement in this direction should soon follow. Longer-term technical indicators are in favour of a fall within the following month, at least. During this time, the downside potential is apparent until the 100-day SMA and the monthly S1 at 4.10. In case of an upside breakout, the Greenback should target the yearly-high at 4.90.

It should be noted that the Turkish Lira is dependent heavily on fundamental aspects; thus, they should also be taken into account when designing a trading strategy.

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