USD/CNH 1H Chart: Two scenarios are shown

Note: This section contains information in English only.
Source: Dukascopy Bank SA

Indicator 4H 1D 1W
MACD (12; 26; 9) Buy Buy Sell
RSI (14) Neutral Neutral Neutral
Stochastic (5; 3) Buy Neutral Neutral
Alligator (13; 8; 5) Buy Buy Sell
SAR (0.02; 0.2) Sell Buy Buy
Aggregate

The price movement of USD/CNH during the past few weeks demonstrates a medium-term consolidation, meaning that the US Dollar has failed to move above the 6.3833 level, while support has been provided by an upward-sloping trend-line.  

Two scenarios are possible in this situation. First, a breakout of the 6.39 area should result in a surge towards the senior channel and the 50.00% Fibonacci retracement at 6.44 during the following week. 

Second, the pair might still diminish its trading range between the aforementioned barriers until downside risks prevail and start a medium-term decline. In this case, it is likely that the pair targets the monthly PP and the weekly S2 at 6.3050 within the following two weeks. Technical on the longer-term time-frames are tilting towards the bearish scenario.

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