XAU/USD 4h Chart: Channel Up

Note: This section contains information in English only.
Source: Dukascopy Bank SA


The recent developments on the chart for the yellow metal have pressured for a review of the situation. First of all it has to be noted that a hypothetical ascending channel pattern has been drawn by using as a reference point the recent rebound. The junior channel is a representation of the rebound against the lower trend line of a long term channel up pattern. The commodity price is heading for the resistance of the 23.60% Fibonacci retracement level, which is located at the 1,297.83 level. The relevant Fibonacci retracement levels are measured by connecting the 2016 high and the 2015 low levels.

  Level  Rationale     Indicator 4H 1D 1W
R4 1,295.82 Trend line     MACD (12; 26; 9) Buy Buy Buy
R3 1,293.85 Weekly R2     RSI (14) Sell Neutral Neutral
R2 1,291.60 Monthly R1     Stochastic (5; 3; 3) Sell Sell Sell
R1 1,286.87 Weekly R1     ADX (14) Buy Neutral Neutral
S1 1,273.06 Weekly PP     CCI (14) Sell Sell Neutral
S2 1,266.08 Weekly S1     AROON (14) Buy Buy Buy
S3 1,264.21 55-period SMA     Alligator (13; 8; 5) Buy Buy Buy
S4 1,262.54 Trend line     SAR (0.02; 0.2) Buy Buy Buy
          Aggregate

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