USD/TRY 1H Chart: Descending Triangle

Note: This section contains information in English only.
Source: Dukascopy Bank SA


The hourly chart reveals that fluctuations of the American Dollar against the Turkish Lira during this trading week formed a descending triangle. More specifically, the pattern began to develop after a sharp depreciation of the Greenback on May 30, which most probably is associated with release of the Consumer Confidence Index. For the moment, the pair is aiming to break through the weekly S2 at 3.5279 for the third time, as it simultaneously represents equal lows of the triangle. Except for this support level, the currency rate does not face any other barriers in the downward direction. In contrast, in the upward direction, the pair is constrained by the 55-period SMA near 3.5336. Therefore, a breakout to the downside is likely to happen during this trading day.

  Level  Rationale     Indicator 1H 4H 1D
R4 3.5511 100-period SMA     MACD (12; 26; 9) Sell Sell Sell
R3 3.5412 Upper Bollinger Band     RSI (14) Neutral Neutral Neutral
R2 3.5344 55-period SMA; Trend line     Stochastic (5; 3; 3) Sell Sell Sell
R1 3.5316 20-period SMA     ADX (14) Neutral Sell Sell
S1 3.5279 Trend line     CCI (14) Neutral Neutral Buy
S2 3.5222 Bottom Bollinger Band     AROON (14) Buy Buy Buy
S3 3.5063 Weekly S3     Alligator (13; 8; 5) Sell Sell Sell
S4 3.4856 Monthly S1     SAR (0.02; 0.2) Buy Sell Sell
          Aggregate

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