EUR/NZD 4h Chart: Channel Down

Note: This section contains information in English only.
Source: Dukascopy Bank SA


The common European currency is losing value against the New Zealand Dollar in a medium scale rather narrow descending channel. However, the situation is about to change soon, as the pair is approaching the lower trend line of a larger pattern's lower trend line. It is most likely that the currency pair will support in the line and begin a surge, which will result in the formation of a new medium term pattern. Although, until the mentioned dominant trend line lies a distance of almost 100 base points. Meanwhile, SWFX market sentiment support the hypothesis of the continuation of the decline in the short term, as the pair is neither overbought nor oversold with 58% of trader open positions being short.



  Level  Rationale     Indicator 4H 1D 1W
R4 1.6107 Weekly R1     MACD (12; 26; 9) Sell Buy Buy
R3 1.5937/50 55 and 100-period SMA; weekly PP     RSI (14) Neutral Neutral Sell
R2 1.5808/38 Trend line; 23.00% Fibo     Stochastic (5; 3; 3) Sell Neutral Sell
R1 1.5767 200-period SMA     ADX (14) Sell Neutral Neutral
S1 1.5684 Weekly S1     CCI (14) Neutral Buy Neutral
S2 1.5639/23 Monthly PP; trend lines     AROON (14) Buy Buy Buy
S3 1.5589 38.20% Fibo     Alligator (13; 8; 5) Sell Neutral Buy
S4 1.5528 Weekly S2     SAR (0.02; 0.2) Sell Sell 0
          Aggregate

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