AUD/CAD 1H Chart: Channel Down

Note: This section contains information in English only.
Source: Dukascopy Bank SA


The Australian Dollar is trading against the Canadian Dollar in the short term descending channel, slightly below the monthly S1 at 1.0016 and is trying to reach the bottom edge of the pattern. A rebound most likely is going to occur, as the narrowing fluctuations of the rate point out on formation of the falling wedge. In addition, the pair has no resistance levels on its way in the upward direction, except for the abovementioned monthly S1. However, even if the exchange rate breaks the lower trend line of the channel, most probably it will still be constrained by the weekly S1 at 0.9978 and 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level at 0.9958, which is measured by connecting the 2016 high and low levels.

  Level  Rationale     Indicator 4H 1D 1W
R4 1.0051 Weekly PP     MACD (12; 26; 9) Sell Sell Sell
R3 1.0032/33 55-period SMA; Upper Bollinger Band     RSI (14) Neutral Neutral Neutral
R2 1.0018 20-period SMA     Stochastic (5; 3; 3) Sell Sell Sell
R1 1.0016 Monthly S1     ADX (14) Neutral Neutral Neutral
S1 1.0003 Bottom Bollinger Band     CCI (14) Buy Neutral Buy
S2 0.9998 Trend line     AROON (14) Buy Buy Buy
S3 0.9978 Weekly S1     Alligator (13; 8; 5) Sell Sell Sell
S4 0.9931 Weekly S2     SAR (0.02; 0.2) Sell Sell Sell
          Aggregate

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