GBP/CHF 4h Chart: Channel Down

Note: This section contains information in English only.
Source: Dukascopy Bank SA


The Pound is approaching a significant region of support against the Swiss Franc, as the active medium term channel down pattern is guiding the currency exchange rate down to the lower trend line of a dominant pattern. The dominant pattern is a simple ascending channel. However, there is a problem, why that lower trend line might not be reached so soon. The 23.60% Fibonacci retracement level of the 2015 high and 2016 low levels at the 1.2579 level is providing significant support and might actually break the medium term channel. In that case the pair would trade rather flat until the support of the dominant channel joins the Fibo and pushes the rate higher.



  Level  Rationale     Indicator 4H 1D 1W
R4 1.2878 Weekly R1     MACD (12; 26; 9) Sell Sell Buy
R3 1.2804 100-period SMA     RSI (14) Neutral Neutral Neutral
R2 1.2723/57 55 and 200-period SMAs; PPs     Stochastic (5; 3; 3) Neutral Neutral Sell
R1 1.2650 Trend line     ADX (14) Neutral Neutral Neutral
S1 1.2594/64 Monthly and weekly S1s; 23.60% Fibo     CCI (14) Buy Neutral Neutral
S2 1.2510 Trend line     AROON (14) Buy Buy Buy
S3 1.2439/38 Weekly S2; trend line     Alligator (13; 8; 5) Sell Sell Buy
S4 1.2294 Monthly S2     SAR (0.02; 0.2) Sell Sell Buy
          Aggregate

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