XAG/USD 4h Chart: Channel Up

Note: This section contains information in English only.
Source: Dukascopy Bank SA


The previous metal, namely, silver is surging in an ascending channel pattern after breaking the previously active channel down pattern. The braking of the previous pattern was caused by a rebound against a dominant channel up pattern's lower trend line. Due to that it is assumed that a medium term surge is most likely to persist. Most recently the currenc exchange rate encountered the combined resistance of the junior channel's upper trend line and the 200-period SMA of the four hour chart. As a result a decline began. However, the surge is most likely going to continue soon. However, market participants should take into account that the 2016 high and low level Fibonacci retracement levels affect the metal's price.


  Level  Rationale     Indicator 4H 1D 1W
R4 17.69 Monthly PP     MACD (12; 26; 9) Buy Sell Sell
R3 17.38/42 Trend line; weekly R2     RSI (14) Neutral Neutral Neutral
R2 17.32 200-period SMA     Stochastic (5; 3; 3) Sell Sell Neutral
R1 17.13/17 61.80% Fibo; weekly R1     ADX (14) Neutral Buy Neutral
S1 16.84/80 Trend line; weekly PP; 55-period SMA     CCI (14) Neutral Sell Neutral
S2 16.71 Monthly S1     AROON (14) Buy Buy Buy
S3 16.65 100-period SMA     Alligator (13; 8; 5) Buy Neutral Sell
S4 16.56 Weekly S1     SAR (0.02; 0.2) Sell Buy Sell
          Aggregate

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