USD/JPY 4h Chart: Broadening Rising Wedge

Note: This section contains information in English only.
Source: Dukascopy Bank SA


The US Dollar has been appreciating against the Japanese Yen since mid-April, forming a broadening rising wedge pattern. The pair has reached the wedge's lower boundary earlier today, with the exchange rate now expected to rebound and prolong the pattern. Technical indicators are supporting this outlook, as they are giving bullish signals in all three timeframes. However, there are doubts the given pair can reach the wedge's resistance line, as another trend-line emerged, which kept the Buck from appreciating further. This is one of the main resistances, currently around 115.15, which should be taken into account, while the second closest one circa 114.20 is unlikely to limit the recovery.



  Level  Rationale     Indicator 4H 1D 1W
R4 116.29 Trend-line; monthly R3     MACD (12; 26; 9) Buy Buy Buy
R3 115.31 Weekly R3     RSI (14) Neutral Sell Neutral
R2 114.13/23 Monthly and weekly R2s; Bollinger band     Stochastic (5; 3; 3) Sell Sell Sell
R1 113.75 20-period SMA     ADX (14) Buy Buy Neutral
S1 113.66/47 Up-trend; weekly R1     CCI (14) Buy Neutral Neutral
S2 113.26 Bollinger band     AROON (14) Buy Buy Buy
S3 112.97/83 55-period SMA; monthly R1     Alligator (13; 8; 5) Buy Buy Buy
S4 112.34 Weekly PP     SAR (0.02; 0.2) Sell Buy Buy
          Aggregate

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