AUD/SGD 4h Chart: Channel Down

Note: This section contains information in English only.
Source: Dukascopy Bank SA


The AUD/SGD currency pair found itself in a rather tricky situation, being that it has two patterns present simultaneously — the descending channel and the descending triangle. The channel is the main one, as it first emerged more than two months ago, while the triangle only in the beginning of May. Moreover, the triangle is nearing its apex, which usually implies a bearish breakout. This also supports the overall situation, as that would prolong the channel, just as technical indicators in all timeframes suggest. The break of the triangle's support is unlikely to last for long, as the exchange rate would then reach the channel's lower boundary, where the Australian Dollar would have the opportunity to post a recovery. Meanwhile, the Aussie is also overbought, as 71% of all open positions are currently long.



  Level  Rationale     Indicator 4H 1D 1W
R4 1.0520/29 Monthly PP; weekly R1; 200-period SMA     MACD (12; 26; 9) Sell Sell Sell
R3 1.0454/73 100-period SMA; down-trend     RSI (14) Neutral Neutral Neutral
R2 1.0418/31 55-period SMA; Bollinger band; weekly PP     Stochastic (5; 3; 3) Sell Sell Sell
R1 1.0386/95 20-period SMA; triangle resistance line     ADX (14) Neutral Sell Neutral
S1 1.0352/51 Monthly S1; Bollinger band     CCI (14) Neutral Neutral Buy
S2 1.0332/26 Triangle support line; weekly S1     AROON (14) Buy Buy Buy
S3 1.0296 Trend-line     Alligator (13; 8; 5) Sell Sell Sell
S4 1.0231/28 Monthly and weekly S2s     SAR (0.02; 0.2) Sell Sell Sell
          Aggregate

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