XAU/USD 4H Chart: Channel Down

Note: This section contains information in English only.
Source: Dukascopy Bank SA


 Although the situation on the gold charts is being reviewed every day by the Dukascopy research team, some new developments have pressed for a review of the drawn trend line. Most recently the currency exchange rate reached the lower trend line of a possible large scale ascending channel. That occurred in the borders of two descending channel patterns, where one of them is a junior representation of a bounce off within the borders of the dominant channel. Moreover, the 38.20% Fibonacci retracement level of the 2016 high and 2016 December low levels provides support. The situation is complex, and markets are awaiting for the outcome. It is likely that a decline in accordance with the medium channel will occur.



  Level  Rationale     Indicator 4H 1D 1W
R4 1,258/59 Weekly R1; 100 and 200-period SMAs     MACD (12; 26; 9) Sell Sell Buy
R3 1,249 50.00% Fibo     RSI (14) Neutral Buy Neutral
R2 1,242/44 Trend; weekly PP; monthly S1; 55 SMA     Stochastic (5; 3; 3) Sell Neutral Sell
R1 1,224 Trend line     ADX (14) Sell Sell Neutral
S1 1,222 Trend line     CCI (14) Neutral Buy Neutral
S2 1,219/18 38.20% Fibo; monthly S2     AROON (14) Buy Buy Buy
S3 1,212/11 Weekly S2; trend line     Alligator (13; 8; 5) Sell Sell Buy
S4 1,202 Trend line     SAR (0.02; 0.2) Sell Sell Buy
          Aggregate

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