GBP/CHF 1H Chart: Triangle reaches maturity

Note: This section contains information in English only.
Source: Dukascopy Bank SA

Indicator 4H 1D 1W
MACD (12; 26; 9) Buy Sell Buy
RSI (14) Neutral Neutral Neutral
Stochastic (5; 3) Neutral Neutral Neutral
Alligator (13; 8; 5) Buy Sell Neutral
SAR (0.02; 0.2) Sell Buy Sell
Aggregate

The Sterling has been trading sideways against the Swiss Franc since late May, as it failed to depreciate after breaching a one-year senior channel to the downside. In addition, this movement has been stranded in an ascending triangle pattern with the lower boundary being a trend-line and the upper one—the 1.3270 mark. 

Given that this pattern was entered from above, a breakout should occur southwards and subsequently be followed by a decline. The maturity of this pattern suggests that this breakout should occur in the nearest time. A possible short-term target for the following week in this bearish scenario is the weekly S3 and the 50.0% Fibonacci retracement at 1.3050. 

Conversely, an upside breakout of the 55– and 100-period (4H) SMAs at 1.32 should result in a surge up to the 200-period SMA and the monthly R2 at 1.3350.

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