欧元/美元突破55日均线

Source: Dukascopy Bank SA
© Dukascopy Bank SA
"市场不再把欧洲央行今年降息包括在汇率上,估计美联储要等到2018年才能加息。"(基于:Daily FX) 

货币对展望 

周五,欧元区CPI好于预期,GDP增长率减速,但美国第二季度GDP大幅不及预期,欧元兑美元一度向上突破55日均线和布林带上轨,涨幅为0.93%,收了带有上影线的大阳线,周线收了大阳线。目前,汇率站上200日均线,短期均线拐头向上,日线形成双底反转形态,走势由空转多。今日,上方关注布林带上轨阻力位,下方关注55日均线和双底颈线1.1124支撑位。如果向上突破布林带上轨,汇率将会测试100日均线主要阻力位;但如若下破双底颈线,欧元美元将会跌至布林带中轨附近。目前,日线、4小时动能指标超买,而且4小时MACD出现顶背离,因此今日回调的可能性较大。今日公布欧元区7月制造业PMI终值。  

交易者情绪 

今日,空头头寸增加2%,至58%;卖单也增加了2%,至55%。
© Dukascopy Bank SA

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