美元/日元宽幅震荡,但仍旧承压

Source: Dukascopy Bak SA
© Dukascopy Bak SA
"明天,日本央行利率决议消息将会胜于昨晚美联储的决定。如果经济刺激规模在市场预测之上,美元/日元将会大幅走高。" – Westpac Banking Corp.(基于:Bloomberg) 

货币对展望

昨日,受到安倍晋三发言的影响,美元兑日元上涨超过1%,但随后遇阻回落,收了带有长上影线的阳线,中长期趋势依然偏空,但短期走势迷失方向,因为市场在等待日本央行7月利率决议和经济刺激规模的确定。今日,上方关注55日均线主要阻力位,下方关注20日均线支撑位。如果向上突破55日均线,汇率将再次测试7月24日高点106.72阻力位;但如若下破20日均线,美元/日元将跌至103附近。此外,日线、4小时动能指标偏空,因此收阴的可能性较大。 

交易者情绪 

多头头寸维持在昨日的56%不变,买单却从昨日的75%降至53%。
© Dukascopy Bak SA

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