美元/日元围绕着55日均线上下波动

Source: Dukascopy Bank SA
© Dukascopy Bank SA
"如果美联储在这周发出支持加息的言论,而且日本央行扩大宽松货币政策,美元/日元将测试108关口。但是,如若日本央行无动于衷,汇率将跌破105。" - FPG Securities(基于:Reuters) 

货币对展望 

周五,美元兑日元窄幅震荡于105.56至106.40之间,收了带有上下影线的小阳线,周线收了带有长上影线的光脚阳线。目前,短期均线呈多头排列,中长期均线呈空头排列,因此短期走势存在继续反弹的可能性。今日,上方关注上周高点107.49阻力位,下方关注10日均线支撑位。如果上破上周高点,汇率将测试100日均线主要阻力位;但如若下破10日均线,美元/日元将逐步跌至布林带中轨附近。此外,周线、4小时动能指标偏多,但日线有回落的迹象。日本央行将扩大宽松货币政策的消息已经体现在前两周的走势中,所以市场在等待日央行履行诺言。 

交易者情绪 

今日,多头头寸增加2%,至51%;而卖单却大幅增加了21%,至73%。
© Dukascopy Bank SA

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