美元/日元逐步逼近100关口

Source: Dukascopy Bank SA
© Dukascopy Bank SA
"英国公投之后,美元/日元的下跌有点太快,加上跌破100之后,而日本央行并没有口头干预。看起来,市场将继续测试日本央行降息的决心,跌至100以下只是时间的问题。" – Westpac(基于:WBP Online) 

货币对展望 

昨日,美元兑日元震荡下跌,收了小阴线,短中长期均线呈空头排列,空头趋势强烈,下方主要支撑位为100。市场期望日本央行进一步扩大宽松货币政策,但一直令市场失望,所以日元升值。如果向下突破100,日本央行或不得不扩大货币宽松政策,之后会迎来日元贬值走势;但如若日本央行仍旧不扩大货币宽松政策,美元/日元将继续大空头趋势。然而,日线MACD绿柱变小,Stochastic、RSI和CCI超卖,因此不排除短期技术性反弹的可能性,上方关注5日、10日均线阻力位。

交易者情绪 

今日,多头头寸减少1%,至73%;买单减少了20%,至51%。
© Dukascopy Bank SA

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