意大利发起政改公投,欧元/美元再次开启空头模式

Source: Dukascopy Bank SA
© Dukascopy Bank SA
"英国退欧可能成为欧盟解体的导火索。意大利今年10月的公投虽与欧盟无关,但其危险性不亚于英国的退欧公投。"(基于:Financial Times) 

货币对展望 

英国退欧公投刚刚结束,意大利总理发起政治改革公投并且承诺,一旦否决他就辞职,这让欧盟政坛又添加了不确定性。昨日,欧元兑美元反弹至布林带中轨之后,一度向下突破10日和200日均线,再次开启空头模式。目前,短期均线呈空头排列,100日均线拐头向下,200日均线持平,趋势总体偏空。今日上方关注200日均线1.1095主要阻力位,下方关注6月29日低点1.1024支撑位。如果上破200日均线,汇率将再次震荡于布林带中轨和200日均线之间;但如若下破1.1024,欧元/美元将会向布林带下轨靠拢。此外,日线技术指标显示,汇率仍然存在下跌的动能。 

交易者情绪 

今日,空头头寸减少7%,至48%;而卖单却增加了7%,至64%。
© Dukascopy Bank SA

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