欧元/美元站上200日均线,但上方阻力重重

Source: Dukascopy Bank SA
© Dukascopy Bank SA
"市场对美联储未来几个月降息的概率正在增加。甚至预期,美联储可能在2017年下半年才会加息。" – BMO Capital Markets(基于:Bloomberg) 

货币对展望 

昨日,欧元兑美元在欧盘、美盘时分单边上涨,一度向上突破200日均线,收了中阳线,目前处于技术性反弹过程中。但是,短期均线呈空头排列,100日均线拐头向下,趋势偏空,上方主要阻力位为双顶反转形态颈线1.1200。今日关注昨日高点1.1130阻力位和200日均线1.1095支撑位。如果向上突破1.1130,汇率将反弹至双顶颈线附近;但如果再次下破200日均线,欧元兑美元将结束反弹走势,再次开始下跌模式。此外,4小时、日线技术指标显示,欧元/美元存在继续技术性反弹的动能。欧元区6月CPI年率初值和欧洲央行公布6月货币政策会议纪要。

交易者情绪 

今日,空头头寸增加1%,至53%;但卖单却减少了2%,至64%。
© Dukascopy Bank SA

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