欧元/美元有下破200日均线的迹象

Source: Dukascopy Bank SA
© Dukascopy Bank SA

"现在主要风险不是美联储将会加息一次,而是加息两次。我们预测,美联储将会在9月和12月加息两次。" – UBS Wealth Management(基于:Bloomberg)

货币对展望

周五,美联储耶伦讲话偏向于鹰派和美国第一季度GDP向上修正,欧元兑美元一度向下突破100日均线和38.20%回撤率,收了光脚大阴线,短期行情仍然震荡偏空,下方主要支撑位为200日均线1.1097和布林带下轨1.1004。如果向下突破200日均线,汇率将会下探至布林带下轨;但如果在200日均线附近止跌上涨,欧元兑美元将会震荡于100日均线和200日均线之间。此外,日线MACD出现底背离,Stochastic再次形成死叉,RSI震荡偏空;4小时MACD偏空,Stochastic和RSI进入超卖区域。今日关注欧元区5月经济景气指数、5月工业济景气指数、5月消费者信心指数终值。

交易者情绪

今日,多头头寸维持在51%;卖单增加1%,至56%。

© Dukascopy Bank SA

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