英镑/美元将测试1.4370

Source: Dukascopy Bank SA
© Dukascopy Bank SA

"虽然英镑/美元低于1.4400不足为奇,目前下跌势头不是很强烈,汇率持续性低于这个水平似乎不太可能。" - UOB (基于:FXStreet)

货币对展望

虽然上周五美国四月非农就业人数创下7个月以来最低,但美元依然维持强势,英镑兑美元在上周五单边下跌,收了带有上影线的中阴线并且收盘在布林带中轨下方,日线级别已经连续四天收阴线,目前行情偏空。此外,日线级别MACD指标绿柱变大且快线和慢线形成死叉,100日均线向下并且没有拐头的迹象。因此,预测英镑兑美元今日将会以震荡下行为主,下方主要支撑位为100日均线1.4370和周S2(1.4393)。但是,由于日线级别形成双底反转形态,所以不排除汇率在主要支撑位1.4370附近止跌上涨的可能性,上方阻力位为布林带中轨1.4434和3月16日高点1.4503。

交易者情绪

上周五多头头寸为61%,今日为58%;买单从周五的53%降至46%。

© Dukascopy Bank SA

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