美元/日元仍旧在118徘徊

Source: Dukascopy Bank SA
© Dukascopy Bank SA
“油价近段时间以来的暴跌成为刺激避险情绪升温的一大因素。除非油价地板价能明了,否则避险情绪降温的可能性非常之低。而随着避险情绪的深化,也带动了日元走强。”
-IG Markets Securities Ltd. (基于:彭博社)


货币对展望

由于缺乏基本面信息的推动,美元/日元在118并未发生大的变化。而不论如何该货币对的乖离率仍旧向上,美元似乎并不会放弃这一决定性的支撑位。距离最近的需求区为最近一次反弹线的斐波23.6%,55日SMA和斐波38.2%构画出的115.50区域。但为了确保其长线上涨意向,美元必须收于122之上。

交易者情绪
由于美元依旧太多,更多人选择了买入而不是卖出,目前持多的比例已经占大57%。而买单却从60%跌至51%。
© Dukascopy Bank SA

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