Note: This section contains information in English only.
Source: Dukascopy Bank SA
Despite the volatility caused by the publication of the monthly US employment data, the yellow metal's price continues to surge in the borders of a channel up pattern. However, it was spotted on Monday that the 1,795.00 level was providing the price with resistance.

Economic Calendar Analysis



On Tuesday, the US ISM Services Purchasing Managers Index release at 14:00 GMT could cause a minor move on USD pairs. However, note that during most times the event does not cause an increase of volatility.

On Wednesday, at 18:00 GMT, the Federal Open Market Committee is set to publish its Meeting Minutes. Note that it will be just the meeting minutes for the previous meeting. There is no rate announcement or statement being published. Namely, the meeting minutes will have more detailed information about the previous decision of the Federal Reserve.

On Thursday, the US Unemployment Claims at 12:30 GMT could cause a minor move on USD pair and commodity price charts.

Click on the link below to find out more about the data releases of this and other currency exchange rates.

XAU/USD short-term forecast

In the case that the price gains enough support from the lower trend line of the channel up pattern and possibly the 55-hour simple moving average it could reach the resistance of the 1,800.00 mark.

On the other hand, a potential decline below the 55-hour SMA and the pattern's lower trend line would most likely look for support in the 100 and 200-hour simple moving averages near 1,775.00.

Hourly Chart

XAU/USD daily charts review

On the daily candle chart, the fundamental move up managed to pierce the resistance of the 100-day simple moving average, which has been keeping the price down since June 18.

Daily Candle Chart


Traders are long on gold

Since previous Monday, the sentiment on the Swiss Foreign Exchange was 68% bullish, as 68% of open position volume was long.

This week, the open position volume was 69% long.

Meanwhile, in the 1000-pip range around the metal's price the pending orders were 68% to buy the metal.

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