USD/JPY consolidates near 106.20

Note: This section contains information in English only.
Source: Dukascopy Bank SA

Since Wednesday morning, the USD/JPY currency exchange rate has been surging with low volatility.

Economic Calendar



On Friday, both Canada and the US are set to release their monthly employment data at 12:30 GMT. Depending on the currencies that one trades, one needs to look at different data tables, as reactions to the event vary.

Next week, there are not so many events that could make an impact on the USD/JPY pair.

On Thursday, at 12:30 GMT a group of minor US data sets is scheduled to be published. The set will consist of US Producers Price Index, Core Price Index and Unemployment claims. In most cases these data releases cause insignificant moves.

The week will end with the publication of the US Consumer Price Index and Core Consumer Price Index changes. This event had been insignificant and did not cause increases of volatility since April. However, in August, there were notable moves on all USD pairs.

Click on the link below to see the historical reaction tables.

USD/JPY short-term daily review

On Thursday, the USD/JPY currency pair tested the support formed by the 200-hour SMA and the monthly PP at 106.02. During today's morning, the pair continued to test the given resistance.

If the predetermined support holds, it is likely that some upside potential could prevail in the market, and the exchange rate could target the resistance formed by the Fibo 38.20% and the monthly R1 at 106.90.

In the meantime, note that the rate would have to exceed the weekly R1 at 106.48. If the given level holds, it is likely that the pair could trade sideways in the short run.

Hourly Chart



On the daily candle chart, the pair could approach the resistance of the 55- and 100-day simple moving averages. These SMAs caused the decline of the rate in late July, and kept the rate down throughout August.

Daily chart




Traders go short

On Friday, traders of the Swiss Foreign Exchange were neutral, as 57% of all open position volume was in short positions.

On Thursday, the sentiment was 51% short.

Meanwhile, trader set up pending orders in the 100-pip range were 60% to sell.

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