USD/JPY trades almost flat

Note: This section contains information in English only.
Source: Dukascopy Bank SA

Since Wednesday morning, the USD/JPY currency exchange rate has been surging with low volatility. On Thursday, the rate had reached the 106.35 level.

Economic Calendar



On Thursday, watch the economic calendar two times during the day. At 12:30 the weekly US Unemployment Claims are set to be released.

At 14:00 GMT, the US ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI results will be published.

On Friday, both Canada and the US are set to release their monthly employment data at 12:30 GMT. Depending on the currencies that one trades, one needs to look at different data tables, as reactions to the event vary.

Click on the link below to see the historical reaction tables.

USD/JPY short-term daily review

The situation has not changed since Wednesday morning. The forecast description was not changed on Thursday.

The surge through the resistance of the various technical levels near 106.00 level was caused by the support of the 105.60 mark. In the meantime, take into account that the Japanese Yen ignores technical levels during fundamental announcements. Namely, there are talks about a new Prime Minister.

Despite that, if the rate is pushed up by the 55, 100 and 200-hour simple moving averages, it would first reach for the weekly R1 at 106.48. If the weekly R1 fails to keep the rate down, next target would be the 38.20% Fibonacci retracement level at 106.86.

Hourly Chart



On the daily candle chart, the pair could approach the resistance of the 55 and 100-day simple moving averages. These SMAs caused the decline of the rate in late July, and kept the rate down throughout August.

Daily chart




Traders go short

On Wednesday, traders of the Swiss Foreign Exchange were neutral, as 51% of all open position volume was in short positions.

During the Thursday morning hours, the sentiment was 55% short.

Meanwhile, trader set up pending orders in the 100-pip range were 60% to sell.

Previously, the orders were 70% to sell.

Actual Topics

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