Note: This section contains information in English only.
Source: Dukascopy Bank SA

The USD/JPY currency pair broke the lower boundary of the medium-term ascending channel.

During Monday morning, the pair recovered after sharp drop.

Economic Calendar



The first week of the month is upcoming. It is set to reveal monthly data sets, which are expected to cause notable currency rate adjustments.

On Tuesday, at 14:00 GMT the US ISM Manufacturing PMI is set to be published.

At 12:15 on Wednesday, the ADP Non-Farm Payrolls could cause a move from 5.5 to 17.7 pips. Dukascopy Analytics usually ignore this event because prior to August the EUR/USD move range was 5.5 to 8.4 pips. The early August release caused a 17.7 pip move.

On Thursday, watch the economic calendar two times during the day. At 12:30 the weekly US Unemployment Claims are set to be released. At 14:00 GMT, the US ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI results will be published.

On Friday, both Canada and the US are set to release their monthly employment data at 12:30 GMT. Depending on the currencies that one trades, one needs to look at different data tables, as reactions to the event vary.

Click on the link below to see the historical reaction tables.

USD/JPY short-term daily review

On Friday, the USD/JPY currency pair broke the lower line of the medium-term ascending channel. During today's morning, the pair reversed north.

Given that the exchange rate is pressured by the 55-, 100– and 200-hour SMAs near 106.00, it is likely that some downside potential could prevail in the market. A possible downside target is the 105.20 level.

In the meantime, it is unlikely that bulls could prevail in the market in the nearest future, and the currency pair could exceed the weekly R1 located at the 106.48 mark.

Hourly Chart



On the daily candle chart, the pair was testing the resistance of the 55 and 200-day simple moving averages circa 106.00.

Daily chart




Traders go short

On Monday, traders of the Swiss Foreign Exchange were short, as 66% of all open position volume was in short positions.

Meanwhile, trader set up pending orders in the 100-pip range were 66% to sell.

Previously, the orders were 55% to buy.

Actual Topics

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