Gold encounters resistance at 1,930.00

Note: This section contains information in English only.
Source: Dukascopy Bank SA
The 1,900.00 range acted as support and caused a sharp retracement back up to the 1,930.00 level. The 1,930.00 has acted as resistance and keeps the commodity price down. Most likely, the price will remain near 1,930.00 until the US Federal Reserve makes a rate statement and the follow up press conference makes its impact.

Economic Calendar Analysis



On Wednesday, the ADP Non-Farm Employment Change, JOLTS Job Openings and ISM Manufacturing PMIs might cause moves in the USD. The releases will occur at 13:15 GMT and 15:00 GMT.

Afterwards, at 19:00 GMT, the US Federal Reserve is set to hike its Federal Funds Rate. The central bank is expected by the markets to increase its interest rate from 4.50% up to 4.75%. The announcement will be followed by a press conference of the Chairman of the Federal Reserve Jerome Powell at 19:30 GMT.

On Friday, the US monthly employment data will be published at 13:30 GMT. The release will consist of Average Hourly Earnings, Non-Farm Employment Change and the Unemployment Rate.

XAU/USD short-term forecast

Higher above, note previous notable round price levels like 1,940.00 and 1,950.00. Meanwhile, support could be once again found near the 1,900.00 mark.

Hourly Chart

XAU/USD daily charts review

On the daily candle chart, the metal has passed above the late 2021 high level zone of 1,900.00/1,910.00. Meanwhile, above the 1,950.00 level take into account the high level zone of late 2020 and early 2021 at 1,957.85/1,965.70.

Daily Candle Chart


Traders short the Fed

Before the Federal Reserve rate hike, gold traders were short, as 57% of open positions were short.

Meanwhile, pending orders in the 1000-pip range were 57% to sell.

On Tuesday, traders were still short, but some had closed short positions, as 53% of volume was short. Pending orders were 60% to buy.

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