USD/JPY reaches pre-intervention high

Note: This section contains information in English only.
Source: Dukascopy Bank SA
On Tuesday morning, the USD/JPY currency pair reached the 145.85/145.90 zone, which is where the Bank of Japan intervened and beat the currency rate down. The zone acted as resistance and the pair retraced to the support of the 50-hour simple moving average near 145.50.

Economic Calendar



This week, the markets are looking forward for the monthly United States inflation and retail sales data. In addition, on Wednesday, the FOMC Meeting Minutes might impact the markets.

On Wednesday, at 12:30 GMT, the US Producers Price Index change will reveal inflation at the production level.

Later on, at 18:00 GMT, the Federal Reserve Federal Open Market Committee Meeting Minutes are going to provide more insight into the decisions of the US monetary policy makers.

On Thursday, the top event of the week will take place. The United States Consumer Price Index is scheduled to be published at 12:30 GMT.

On Friday, at 12:30 GMT, the US Retail Sales data could also impact the financial markets.

Hourly Chart
A move above the 145.90 level is expected to encounter resistance in the weekly R1 simple pivot point at 145.93 and the 146.00 mark. Higher above, it is unclear, which round level might stop a surge. Meanwhile, the central bank of Japan is surely watching the decline of the Yen.

However, a decline of the USD against the JPY would have to reach below the combination of the 50-hour SMA and the 145.50 level. Further below, note the 145.20/145.30 zone, which has acted as support and resistance.

USD/JPY daily chart's review

On the daily candle chart, the pair pierced the 145.00 mark and was heading to 1998 levels, before the BoJ intervened. It appears that the 145.00 level is where the central bank draws its line and starts to beat the rate down.

Daily chart




Traders are short on USD/JPY

On Monday, on the Swiss Foreign Exchange, traders were 70% short as that amount of open position volume was in short positions.

Meanwhile, trader set up pending orders in the 100-pip range around the rate were 57% to sell the USD against the JPY.

On Tuesday, the positions were already 75% short and pending orders were 56% to sell.

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