USD/JPY traders are short

Note: This section contains information in English only.
Source: Dukascopy Bank SA

By the start of Tuesday's US trading, the USD/JPY currency exchange rate had reached the 109.20 level. The next target for the decline appeared to be the September and August low levels at 109.12.

Economic Calendar



On Wednesday, the top event of all macroeconomic events will occur. The US Federal Reserve Federal Open Market Committee is going to publish their Economic Projections, Statement and the Federal Funds Rate.

On Thursday, Markit Institute will publish their Purchasing Managers Indexes. The indexes are a result of survey of manufacturing and services sector managers about their outlook on their respective fields.

Also on Wednesday, at 12:30 GMT, the weekly US Unemployment Claims could cause minor increases of volatility. However, for example, the range for the EUR/USD moves during the release has been from 5.4 to 11.1 base points. On average, the EUR/USD moves less than 10 points on its own, during no event environment.

The week's notable events will end with the US Markit PMI release. Namely, the US Flash Manufacturing and Services PMIs at 13:45 GMT are highly likely to cause USD moves.

Click on the link below to find out more about the data releases of this and other currency exchange rates.

USD/JPY short-term review

In the case that the low level holds and a recovery starts, the pair could find resistance in the weekly S1 simple pivot point at 109.37. Above the pivot point, the 55, 100 and 200-hour simple moving averages might provide resistance near 109.60/109.70.

On the other hand, a decline below the 109.12 level most likely would first look for support at 109.00 before reaching the weekly S2 simple pivot point at 108.72.

Hourly Chart

USD/JPY daily chart's review

On the daily candle chart, the rate has broken free from trading near the 55 and 100-day simple moving average. From a technical perspective, the rate was squeezed in between the SMAs and the US CPI release provided the needed push for it to break out.

In regards to the future, if the pair continues to decline, it would look for support in the zone that surrounds the 109.00 mark.

Daily chart




Short sentiment increases

On Tuesday, on the Swiss Foreign Exchange, traders were short, as 64% of open position volume was in short positions.

Meanwhile, trader set up pending orders in the 100-pip range around the rate were 73% to buy.

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