EUR/USD likely to edge higher

Note: This section contains information in English only.
Source: Dukascopy Bank SA
During Monday's trading session, the EUR/USD currency pair surged by 47 pips or 0.39%. The exchange rate breached the 55– and 100– hour simple moving averages on Monday.

Economic Calendar Analysis



At 12:30 GMT on Thursday, the US Preliminary GDP is set to be published. This event has caused EUR/USD moves from 6.3 to 15.1 pips. Note that in most cases the rate has moved below ten pips, which is in the range of normal volatility. Namely, the event has not caused actual moves.

Also on Thursday, the weekly US Unemployment Claims are set to be published at 12:30 GMT. Our analysts have been ignoring this event since February, as it did not have an impact on the USD. This week, another check of the data was done.

The event supposedly caused a notable move on May 13, when the EUR/USD moved 19.4 pips in the span of ten minutes. However, that was due to three data sets being released at the same time. Namely, the US PPI and Core PPI showed better than expected results and combined with the Unemployment Claims caused an increase of volatility.

Click on the link below to find out more about the data releases of this and other currency exchange rates.

EUR/USD hourly chart's review

The single European currency is likely to continue to strengthen against the US Dollar during the following trading session. The potential target for bullish traders could be near the 1.2300 level.

However, the weekly resistance level at 1.2243 could provide resistance for the currency exchange rate in the shorter term.

Hourly Chart

EUR/USD daily chart's review

On the daily candle chart, the rate has reached the February high just below the 1.2250 level. If this level gets passed, the 2021 high near 1.2350 could be targeted.

In the meantime, the rate remains in a channel up pattern, which has guided the rate up since the start of April.

Daily chart




Short positions are intact

Since Monday, on the Swiss Foreign Exchange trader open positions have been short, as 65% of open position volume was in short positions.

On Tuesday, trader set up pending orders in the 100-pip range around the pair were 62% to sell the pair.

On Monday, 51% was to buy.

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