EUR/USD remains below 1.1840

Note: This section contains information in English only.
Source: Dukascopy Bank SA
On Wednesday, the resistance of the weekly simple pivot point at 1.1840 continued to hold. The rate had failed in numerous attempts at passing the resistance

In the meantime, it could be spotted that the rate has begun to ignore the resistance and support of the 100-hour simple moving average.

Economic Calendar Analysis



On Wednesday, at 12:30 GMT traders should watch the release of the US Durable Goods Orders data. The event is capable of causing volatility increases above average level.

On Thursday, the US Preliminary GDP and the US Unemployment claims are set to be published. Due to these events usually not being released at the same time, the past reactions need to be combined. Namely, in the case of the same direction surprise the volatility pips need to be added one to another. On the other hand, different results shown by each data set could cancel one another out.

Click on the link below to find out more about the data releases.

EUR/USD hourly chart's review

The rate is being supported by the 1.1785 level, which caused the Monday and Tuesday surges that tested the resistance of the technical levels near 1.1840.

Previously, it was expected that the rate could be pushed down by the 55 and 100-hour simple moving averages. However, since the middle of Tuesday's GMT trading hours, the rate has been ignoring these levels.

Due to that reason, it is expected that the rate could continue to trade between the 1.1785 and 1.1840 levels until a fundamental event causes a passing of one of the levels.

Hourly Chart



On the daily candle chart, the pair is consolidating in the borders of a channel up pattern. Take into account the strong cluster of support levels near 1.1710. Namely, the rate could meet at that level the weekly S1, 38.20% Fibonacci retracement level and the lower trend line of the channel patterns.

Daily chart




Short sentiment declines

On Wednesday, on the Swiss Foreign Exchange 68% of all EUR/USD open position volume was in short positions.

On Tuesday morning, the sentiment was 71% short.

Meanwhile, trader set up pending orders in the 100-pip range around the pair were set to sell in 51% of all cases.

The orders had not changed since Tuesday.

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