EUR/USD recovers after drop

Note: This section contains information in English only.
Source: Dukascopy Bank SA
On Thursday, the support of the 55 and 100-hour simple moving averages failed, which resulted in a sharp decline. The decline was reversed at the 1.1280 level by the 200-hour simple moving average.

By the middle of Friday's GMT trading hours, the rate had reached the resistance of the 100-hour simple moving average near the 1.1330 mark.

Economic Calendar Analysis



In regards to the EUR/USD during next week, there are a couple of scheduled macroeconomic data releases that could impact the currency exchange rate.

First of all note the US Retail Sales on Tuesday at 12:30 GMT. This event has caused reactions from 7.6 to 29.2 pips.

On Thursday, the US Unemployment Claims at 12:30 GMT will be discussed by most market participants. However, this release usually causes moves below ten pips. There were exception in May and June, when the EUR/USD moved respectively 11.2 and 22.2 pips.

Take a look at all of the historical reaction tables by clicking on the link below.

EUR/USD hourly chart's review

On Thursday, the EUR/USD currency pair revealed a short-term ascending channel. During today's morning, the pair reversed north from the upper channel line.

From a theoretical perspective, it is likely that some upside potential could prevail in the market. In this case the exchange rate could re-test the resistance level—the monthly R2 at 1.1385.

Meanwhile, note that the rate could remain under pressure of the 55– and 100-hour SMAs in the 1.1340 area. Thus, it is likely that the pair could trade along the lower channel line in the short term.

Hourly Chart



On the daily candle chart, the rate has been consolidating by trading sideways between pivot points.

Daily chart




Traders stick to short positions

On Friday, on the Swiss Foreign Exchange 75% of all EUR/USD open position volume was in short positions.

Meanwhile, trader set up pending orders in the 100-pip range around the pair were bearish, as 59% of orders were to sell.

Actual Topics

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