Trade Pattern-Ideas

Note: This section contains information in English only.
Fri, 26 Jul 2013 07:15:33 GMT

EUR/JPY 1H Chart: Rising Wedge

In the past 270 bars, while the currency pair was trending upwards, the trading range of EUR/JPY was reduced two and a half times, meaning that the price formed a rising wedge on an hourly chart.Usually such a set-up implies a substantial sell-off in the future, something that is already taking place, since the up-trend line at 131.89 was violated

Fri, 26 Jul 2013 07:15:21 GMT

GBP/NZD 1H Chart: Channel Down

There is a channel down pattern emerging on an hourly chart of GBP/NZD currency pair. After trading sideways for some time, the pair has finally decoupled from the 200-hour SMA, which it has been gravitating to for more than 200 hours. Now GBP/NZD is testing the potential upper boundary of the downward-sloping corridor at 1.6045, which should remain intact in

Thu, 25 Jul 2013 13:09:32 GMT

EUR/JPY 1H Chart: Channel Up

It seems that EUR/JPY has resumed the uptrend and continue appreciating, after a short retracement. The pair has already formed a channel up pattern, which usually forms in uptrends. As aggregate technical indicators are "neutral" on 1H and 4H charts, and the slight majority of market participants is opening short positions, a retest of the support line can be expected.

Thu, 25 Jul 2013 13:08:38 GMT

EUR/CAD 4H Chart: Rising Wedge

A huge 427-bar long rising wedge was formed by EUR/CAD, and the pattern has 58% quality and 100% magnitude, suggesting the returns can be significant. Based on tools of technical analysis it's very difficult to predict pair's future movement, as aggregate technical indicators are "neutral", while market sentiment is not clearly marked. The only reason why this pattern can be

Thu, 25 Jul 2013 13:06:12 GMT

USD/HKD 1H Chart: Rectangle

For the last 10 days pair has been trading in a rather narrow 25 pip range and although visually it seems that the pair is rather volatile actually the movements are relatively smooth. As a consequence we have a pattern whose quality and magnitude ratings are just slightly above the average. Despite the fact that the pair  has recently bounced

Thu, 25 Jul 2013 13:05:58 GMT

USD/CAD 1H Chart: Channel Down

Pair has been depreciating since the start of July. Therefore the emergence of a bearish pattern, in this case Channel Down, was expected. Short term technicals do not give clear aggregate signal, thus we might expect that pair could move along the pattern's resistance, as it was doing since the recent rebound from the pattern's boundaries, for some time more.

Thu, 25 Jul 2013 07:10:05 GMT

EUR/NZD 1H Chart: Triangle

Throughout 380 hours EUR/NZD has been posting lower peaks and higher valleys, allowing us to draw two major converging trend-lines that have eventually become the boundaries of the triangle. Even though the upper one has been recently breached, it still retains the potential to shape the price chart in the future, since the break-out proved to be false. Although during

Thu, 25 Jul 2013 06:59:06 GMT

USD/CHF 1H Chart: Triangle

During the last 60 hours USD/CHF has been trading within two converging trend-lines, in other words forming a triangle. However, while we are more or less confident in the down-trend resistance, the lower boundary of the pattern might not be the up-trend, but the horizontal line at 0.9341, around which most of the local lows were charted, meaning that the

Thu, 25 Jul 2013 06:48:05 GMT

CAD/JPY 1H Chart: Channel Up

Although the length of the channel up on an hourly chart of CAD/JPY is merely 50 bars, both trend-lines composing it are consistently respected by the price. This implies that a test of the lower trend-line at 96.99 should result in a robust rebound that will eventually extend up to 98.03, the upper edge of the positively-sloped corridor. While headed

Thu, 25 Jul 2013 06:37:40 GMT

GBP/NZD 1H Chart: Triangle

The triangle pattern GBP/NZD has been fluctuating within for the past 300 hours has just been breached to the downside. The up-trend support at 1.9225 did not manage to withstand the recent bearish pressure that appeared after the currency pair touched the upper boundary of the formation at 1.9348, thereby leading to a conclusion that the outlook is negative. This

Wed, 24 Jul 2013 13:51:17 GMT

GBP/AUD 4H Chart: Triangle

During the last 80 bars the GBP/AUD currency pair has been trading in a narrow range, and formed a triangle pattern, which is moving to its apex. Both trend lines will converge on July 25, therefore this pair is very attractive and can be highly profitable, as in case of a breakout, the pair will be followed by high volatility.

Wed, 24 Jul 2013 13:50:50 GMT

EUR/USD 1H Chart: Rising Wedge

The most popular currency pair EUR/USD has formed a rising wedge pattern on a 1H chart and it seems that soon it will be completed. Even though the pair is trading close to support line, on a similar pattern on a 4H chart, the pair is trying to penetrate the resistance line, and according to technical indicators on 4H and

Wed, 24 Jul 2013 12:21:49 GMT

AUD/JPY 4H Chart: Double Bottom

Pair is posing for a rather significant recovery. That is the main assumption behind the Double Bottom pattern—pair tries to reach new low, fails to do so and gradually returns to the previous trading levels (approx. 1000 pips higher than current trading levels). Short term technicals point at a further recovery of the pair. However, long term technicals and pair's

Wed, 24 Jul 2013 11:57:20 GMT

USD/CAD 4H Chart: Channel Up

Pair has been developing in the ranks of a Channel Up pattern rather well. After the recent rebound from the pattern's boundaries (pattern's resistance) on the 5th of July pair was stuck around 200-bar SMA for some time, but pair continued depreciating and at the moment is trading just slightly above the pattern's support. As short term technicals send aggregate

Wed, 24 Jul 2013 07:31:05 GMT

HKD/JPY 1H Chart: Channel Down

The situation in HKD/JPY is in many ways similar to the one currently observed in USD/JPY, where the pair has formed a channel down pattern as well. Even the signals of the technical indicators are exactly the same (slightly bearish), and this is understandable, since the Hong Kong Dollar is pegged to its United States counterpart.However, there is a critical

Wed, 24 Jul 2013 07:20:06 GMT

GBP/JPY 1H Chart: Channel Up

At the very start of the pattern GBP/JPY was somewhat hesitant to advance, but nonetheless divorced from the 200-hour SMA, thereby allowing formation of the 133-bar long channel up. Right now the pair is at the lower boundary of the pattern, implying that the probability of a surge in the nearest future is higher than the likelihood of any other

Wed, 24 Jul 2013 07:09:05 GMT

USD/JPY 1H Chart: Channel Down

After peaking at 100.86 60 hours ago, USD/JPY started to move downwards in the direction of the 200-hour SMA, which has been already breached, meaning that the outlook is negative. Apart from the long-term simple moving average, the down-trend resistance line at 99.89 also makes it difficult for the currency pair to rally. Accordingly, we are biased to see continuation

Wed, 24 Jul 2013 06:58:05 GMT

NZD/CAD 1H Chart: Triangle

NZD/CAD has recently formed a triangle pattern on an hourly chart that at the moment is about 70 bars long. Both converging trend-lines have been respected by the currency pair several times, suggesting that the price is likely to get close to the apex of the formation before breaking out of it.Moreover, the technical indicators for the nearest time-frames are

Tue, 23 Jul 2013 13:30:06 GMT

CAD/CHF 4H Chart: Channel Down

After touching 0.9250 on July 10 the CAD/CHF turned lower, and now hover around 200-day SMA, around 0.908. Even though the pair is trading in the upper part of a channel, aggregate technical indicators are sending either "neutral" or "sell" signals. On the contrary, 70% of all opened positions are long, suggesting bulls may push the pair higher, and

Tue, 23 Jul 2013 13:29:54 GMT

USD/CAD 4H Chart: Channel Up

In comparison with Monday, USD/CAD inched closer to the support line and now changing hands at 1.036, just 70 pips above the lower trend line. Our outlook for the pair remains the same– USD/CAD is likely to reach the support line in the shorter term, however, in a longer period, the continuation of an uptrend is expected. It is also

Tue, 23 Jul 2013 13:20:09 GMT

EUR/AUD 4H Chart: Triple Top

Pair is posing for a major sell off. Idea of a such scenario comes from the main assumption of the Triple Top pattern—pair fails to reach new high and afterwards returns to the previous trading levels. Taking in to account that the pattern started in the end of April we could expect significant move (~1600 pips). Short term technicals (on

Tue, 23 Jul 2013 13:19:48 GMT

EUR/CAD 4H Chart: Rising Wedge

Pair has been narrowing its trading range by 60 pips in 100 bar period since the beginning on April. Short term technicals suggest that the pair might remain in the vicinity of the 200-bar SMA. Medium term technicals, however, suggest that overall bullishness and movement towards the pattern's resistance (after the bounce from the pattern's support) should persist. Except for

Tue, 23 Jul 2013 07:22:05 GMT

USD/CHF 1H Chart: Channel Down

Soon after hitting 0.9753 USD/CHF experienced a precipitous three-and-a-half figure drop. The currency couple was unable to recover after such a decline and continued to descend, although at a substantially slower pace. This marked the beginning of a channel down the price is presently fluctuating within. The upper trend-line is at 0.9440, while the lower one is at 0.9316.According to

Tue, 23 Jul 2013 07:11:05 GMT

USD/CAD 1H Chart: Channel Down

The most recent 75 bars USD/CAD has been fluctuating in a fairly narrow, 40-pip wide corridor, and is not expected to exit it in the nearest future, since most of the technical indicators are pointing in the direction of the pattern, namely south. The nearest support the currency pair is going to hit then is located at 1.0316 (daily S1),

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