"And unfortunately for yen bulls, the weaker yen hasn't led to a pickup in Japanese exports. Until this happens, the yen will likely continue to weaken."
– Marc Chandler, BBH (based on Market Watch)
Pair's Outlook
A relatively strong recovery yesterday was almost sufficient to erase Friday's losses completely, leaving the USD/JPY pair just few pips away from that day's opening price. The Buck, however, remains under pressure and is likely to slide down due to a stronger Yen. The weekly pivot point is now the immediate support, but the cluster around 112.90 is much more reliable. A failure to find support around this area would open the way towards the 112.00 major level, where the 20-day SMA coincides with the 55-day one, but a plunge that far is out of reach for now.
Traders' Sentiment
Traders remain bearish towards the Greenback, as 65% of all open positions are currently short. At the same time, there are 52% of orders to acquire the US Dollar, up from 50% yesterday.
Sentiment | Today | Yesterday | 5 days ago | |
Positions | -30% | -26% | -30% | |
Orders | 4% | 0% | 10% | |
Indicator | 1D | 1W | 1MN | |
MACD (12; 26; 9) | Buy | Buy | Buy | |
RSI (14) | Neutral | Neutral | Neutral | |
Stochastic (5; 3; 3) | Sell | Sell | Sell | |
ADX (14) | Buy | Neutral | Sell | |
CCI (14) | Neutral | Neutral | Neutral | |
AROON (14) | Buy | Buy | Buy | |
Alligator (13; 8; 5) | Buy | Buy | Buy | |
SAR (0.02; 0.2) | Buy | Buy | Buy | |
Aggregate | ↗ | ↗ | ↗ |