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According to Li Daokui, associate of monetary policy board
and consultant at the People's Bank of China, the country's economy may reach
zero or even negative trade balance by the end of 2013. China's diminishing
trade surplus is predicted to decline to $150bn this year while its yearly GDP
may fall from 8% to 1.5%. Li pointed out that China is likely to face serious
challenges in next 5-10 years.