Canadian inflation growth falls unexpectedly last month

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Source: Dukascopy Bank SA
"I just don't see the talk of rate hikes anytime soon as being credible, anchored in the inflation numbers that we're getting."
- Derek Holt, Scotiabank
 

[ANNOUNCE]Canada's inflation growth slowed last month as food prices dropped for the sixth consecutive month.[/ANNOUNCE] Statistics Canada reported on Friday that the annual inflation rate declined to 1.6%, down from April's 2.0%. Meanwhile, market analysts anticipated a gain of 1.8%. On a monthly basis, consumer prices rose 0.2% in March, unchanged from the preceding month, whereas analysts expected a climb of 0.4% during the reported period. Transportation costs advanced 4.6% on an annual basis but were offset by weak food prices, which dropped 1.9% year-over-year, and clothing costs. Among the Bank of Canada's core inflation measures, the CPI-common, considered to be the best measure of inflation, remained unchanged at 1.3% last month. The CPI-median, a measure based on the weighted median, dropped to 1.7%, whereas the CPI-trim, which excludes upside and downside outliers, fell to 1.4%. Due to weaker-than-expected inflation data, the Central bank is set to keep its monetary policy unchanged for an indefinite period of time or until the inflation rate hits the BoC's target of 2%. The Bank's key interest rate remained unchanged at 0.50% since July 2015. Friday's figures confirmed the view that inflationary pressures in Canada remained low and the recent boost was driven by the temporary oil price rise.

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