USD/JPY decline reaches 50-day SMA

Note: This section contains information in English only.
Source: Dukascopy Bank SA
The Bank of Japan has made comments that it would closely monitor the Yen's impact on the economy. Since most market participants see the Yen as too weak and hurting the economy, the comments indicated that the BoJ might strengthen the currency.

Due to this reason, the USD/JPY pair started a decline on Tuesday morning. By mid-day the rate had reached below 155.00.

Economic Calendar



This week, the markets will watch the US Employment data release. It is scheduled for Friday 12:30 GMT. The data release moves all of the financial markets, as it causes a move in the US Dollar.

US Employment data release consists of the US Average Hourly Earnings change, Non-Farm Payrolls and Unemployment rate.

USD/JPY hourly chart analysis

An extension of the ongoing decline could be slowed down by the lower trend line of a channel down pattern and round exchange rate levels like the 154.50, 154.00 and 153.30.

In the meantime, a potential recovery of the US Dollar against the Japanese Yen would have to break the resistance of the weekly S3 at 155.19. Higher above, note the combination of the weekly S2 at 155.78 and the descending upper trend line of the channel pattern.

Hourly Chart

USD/JPY daily chart's review

On the daily candle chart, the pair is being pushed up by the 50-day simple moving average. It has acted as support two times in combination with a round and notable exchange rate level. The SMA could push the pair into the prior high of 160.00 unless the Bank of Japan intervenes once again.

The most recent comments made by the central bankers could be considered a warning about upcoming intervention and might be enough for the 50-day simple moving average to fail.

Daily chart



Traders remain bullish

On Monday, trader open positions were long, as 72% of open positions volume at Dukascopy was in bullish positions.

In the meantime, pending orders in the 100-pip range around the current price were 97% to buy.

On Tuesday, traders were 70% long and orders were 83% to buy.

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